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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes Betting tips for December 22 in Spain Segunda
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 20h00 Spain Segunda
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
PREDICTION Deportivo La Coruna wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Mirandes Mirandes
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes Betting tips for December 22 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
20:00
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
1.95
X
3.20
Mirandes Mirandes
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes:

🔮 Deportivo La Coruna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo La Coruna, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo La Coruna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirandes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $385.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Deportivo La Coruna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Deportivo La Coruna conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes for the Spain Segunda – 22 of December

🏟️ Deportivo La Coruna X Mirandes – Spain Segunda
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Deportivo La Coruna – Winning probability: 65.67% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.75% | Fair line: 5.33
🔴 Mirandes – Winning probability: 15.58% | Fair line: 6.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo La Coruna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239261 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes

Is it worth betting on Deportivo La Coruna?

🔵 Deportivo La Coruna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $627.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$287.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Is betting on Mirandes worth it?

🔴 Mirandes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo La Coruna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Deportivo La Coruna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo La Coruna.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo La Coruna x Mirandes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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