Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 21/12/2024 13:00 |
 Kenya Police FC1.72 |
X 3.33 |
Kakamega Homeboyz  4.67 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz:
🔮 Kenya Police FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kenya Police FC, you can win up to $860.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kenya Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. |
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Analysis from Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December
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🏟️ Kenya Police FC X Kakamega Homeboyz – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz
Is it a good idea to bet on Kenya Police FC?
🔵 Kenya Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 710 times – profiting $511.20;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$221.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $442.70
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$367.30.
Should you bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?
🔴 Kakamega Homeboyz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $367.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$533.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kenya Police FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kenya Police FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kenya Police FC.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kenya Police FC x Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
