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Home » Predictions » Others » Cavalier x Humble Lions Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 22h30 Jamaica Premier League
Cavalier Cavalier
PREDICTION Cavalier wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Humble Lions Humble Lions
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Cavalier x Humble Lions Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
22:30
Cavalier Cavalier
1.36
X
4.30
Humble Lions Humble Lions
7.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions:

🔮 Cavalier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cavalier, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cavalier x Humble Lions:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cavalier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $171.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Humble Lions in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cavalier scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Humble Lions matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cavalier x Humble Lions, with Cavalier as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cavalier x Humble Lions for the Jamaica Premier League – 22 of December

🏟️ Cavalier X Humble Lions – Jamaica Premier League
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Cavalier – Winning probability: 79.56% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.01% | Fair line: 6.25
🔴 Humble Lions – Winning probability: 4.43% | Fair line: 22.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cavalier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cavalier and Humble Lions.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

Is it a good idea to bet on Cavalier?

🔵 Cavalier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Humble Lions?

🔴 Humble Lions: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cavalier x Humble Lions

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cavalier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cavalier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cavalier.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cavalier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cavalier x Humble Lions

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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