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Home » Predictions » Others » Crawley Town x Birmingham Betting tips for December 23 in England League 1
Monday, 23 December 2024, 20h00 England League 1
Crawley Town Crawley Town
PREDICTION Birmingham Wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Birmingham Birmingham
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Crawley Town x Birmingham Betting tips for December 23 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Crawley Town x Birmingham, Monday, 23/12/2024
📅 23/12/2024
20:00
Crawley Town Crawley Town
6.84
X
4.70
Birmingham Birmingham
1.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crawley Town x Birmingham:

🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Crawley Town x Birmingham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crawley Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Birmingham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $219.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Crawley Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Birmingham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Birmingham matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Birmingham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Birmingham is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Crawley Town x Birmingham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crawley Town x Birmingham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crawley Town x Birmingham for the England League 1 – 23 of December

🏟️ Crawley Town X Birmingham – England League 1
📅 23 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Crawley Town – Winning probability: 2.65% | Fair line: 37.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.47% | Fair line: 13.39
🔴 Birmingham – Winning probability: 89.89% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Crawley Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Crawley Town and Birmingham.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239435 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

Is betting on Crawley Town worth it?

🔵 Crawley Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $175.20;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$794.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $259.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$671.00.

Is betting on Birmingham worth it?

🔴 Birmingham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Crawley Town x Birmingham

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Crawley Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Crawley Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Crawley Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Crawley Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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