Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for December 22 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 10:00

Ulinzi Stars 2.30

X 2.82

Nairobi City Stars 3.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars

The main points for the tip for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ulinzi Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nairobi City Stars scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Ulinzi Stars matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Ulinzi Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Nairobi City Stars.

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Analysis from Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 22 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ulinzi Stars and Nairobi City Stars.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239281 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars

Is it worth betting on Ulinzi Stars?

🔵 Ulinzi Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $572.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.60.

Is it worth betting on Nairobi City Stars?

🔴 Nairobi City Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $508.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$251.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ulinzi Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ulinzi Stars and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ulinzi Stars.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ulinzi Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ulinzi Stars x Nairobi City Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.