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Home » Predictions » Others » Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns Betting tips for December 24 in South Africa Premier
Tuesday, 24 December 2024, 13h00 South Africa Premier
Amazulu Amazulu
PREDICTION Mamelodi Sundowns Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns Betting tips for December 24 in South Africa Premier

Our betting tip for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns, Tuesday, 24/12/2024
📅 24/12/2024
13:00
Amazulu Amazulu
6.00
X
3.75
Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns
1.48

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns:

🔮 Mamelodi Sundowns wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mamelodi Sundowns, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amazulu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mamelodi Sundowns in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $78.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Amazulu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mamelodi Sundowns scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns for the South Africa Premier – 24 of December

🏟️ Amazulu X Mamelodi Sundowns – South Africa Premier
📅 24 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Amazulu – Winning probability: 5.00% | Fair line: 20.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.89% | Fair line: 5.59
🔴 Mamelodi Sundowns – Winning probability: 77.11% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Amazulu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amazulu and Mamelodi Sundowns.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239449 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns

Is it a good idea to bet on Amazulu?

🔵 Amazulu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $250.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it worth betting on Mamelodi Sundowns?

🔴 Mamelodi Sundowns: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $369.60;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$139.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Amazulu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Amazulu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Amazulu.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amazulu x Mamelodi Sundowns

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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