Bournemouth x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace, Thursday, 26/12/2024

📅 26/12/2024 15:00

Bournemouth 1.86

X 3.62

Crystal Palace 3.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace:

🔮 Bournemouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bournemouth, you can win up to $930.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Bournemouth x Crystal Palace, with Bournemouth as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bournemouth x Crystal Palace?

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Analysis from Bournemouth x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 26 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239928 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace

Is it a good idea to bet on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $498.80;
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$78.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $602.60;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$167.40.

Should you bet on Crystal Palace?

🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $560.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$249.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Crystal Palace

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Bournemouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bournemouth.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bournemouth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Crystal Palace

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.