Southampton x West Ham Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x West Ham, Thursday, 26/12/2024

📅 26/12/2024 15:00

Southampton 3.12

X 3.61

West Ham 2.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Southampton x West Ham:

🔮 West Ham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on West Ham, you can win up to $1090.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Southampton x West Ham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Southampton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Southampton has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against West Ham playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x West Ham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x West Ham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Southampton x West Ham for the England Premier League – 26 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Southampton and West Ham.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239928 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x West Ham

Is it a good idea to bet on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $424.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$376.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $522.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$278.00.

Is betting on West Ham worth it?

🔴 West Ham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $719.80
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$329.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x West Ham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x West Ham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Southampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 West Ham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x West Ham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.