Sampdoria x Carrarese Betting tips for December 26 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 26/12/2024 19:30 |
 Sampdoria2.04 |
X 3.25 |
Carrarese  3.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sampdoria x Carrarese:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sampdoria x Carrarese
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The main points for the tip for Sampdoria x Carrarese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. |
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Analysis from Sampdoria x Carrarese for the Italy Serie B – 26 of December
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🏟️ Sampdoria X Carrarese – Italy Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sampdoria x Carrarese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239928 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
Is it a good idea to bet on Sampdoria?
🔵 Sampdoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $592.80
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$162.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.
Should you bet on Carrarese?
🔴 Carrarese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $442.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$388.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sampdoria x Carrarese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sampdoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sampdoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sampdoria.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
