Liverpool x Leicester Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Leicester, Thursday, 26/12/2024

📅 26/12/2024 20:00

Liverpool 1.12

X 8.95

Leicester 15.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Liverpool x Leicester:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $560.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Liverpool x Leicester: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Leicester, Liverpool scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Leicester matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Liverpool x Leicester, with Liverpool as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leicester conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Liverpool has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Leicester playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Leicester as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Liverpool x Leicester for the England Premier League – 26 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Leicester right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239928 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x Leicester

Should you bet on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $118.80
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leicester?

🔴 Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $145.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$845.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Leicester

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Leicester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Liverpool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Leicester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Leicester

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.