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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Arsenal x Ipswich Betting tips for December 27 in England Premier League
Friday, 27 December 2024, 20h15 England Premier League
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Ipswich Ipswich
ODD: @1.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Ipswich Betting tips for December 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Ipswich, Friday, 27/12/2024
📅 27/12/2024
20:15
Arsenal Arsenal
1.14
X
8.50
Ipswich Ipswich
16.59

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x Ipswich:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $570.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Ipswich:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ipswich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $820.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ipswich conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Arsenal x Ipswich for the England Premier League – 27 of December

🏟️ Arsenal X Ipswich – England Premier League
📅 27 of December, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 99.30% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.50% | Fair line: 198.63
🔴 Ipswich – Winning probability: 0.19% | Fair line: 520.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Ipswich.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240180 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Ipswich

Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $138.60;
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$128.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$915.00.

Is betting on Ipswich worth it?

🔴 Ipswich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 16.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Ipswich

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Ipswich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Arsenal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Ipswich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Ipswich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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