Derby x Leeds Betting tips for December 29 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Derby x Leeds, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 17:45

Derby 5.50

X 4.20

Leeds 1.52

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Derby x Leeds:

🔮 Leeds wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $760.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Derby x Leeds: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-176.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Leeds matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Derby matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Derby conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Leeds. 👉 Leeds is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession. 👉 Even as a visitor, Leeds won the last 3 head-to-head matches Derby´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Derby x Leeds?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Derby x Leeds for the England Championship – 29 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Derby and Leeds.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Derby x Leeds

Is betting on Derby worth it?

🔵 Derby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $540.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on Leeds?

🔴 Leeds: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $364.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Leeds

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Leeds

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Derby, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Derby.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Leeds

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.