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Home » Predictions » Others » Linfield x Larne FC Betting tips for December 30 in Northern Ireland Premier
Monday, 30 December 2024, 19h45 Northern Ireland Premier
Linfield Linfield
PREDICTION No tip
Larne FC Larne FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Linfield x Larne FC Betting tips for December 30 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Linfield x Larne FC, Monday, 30/12/2024
📅 30/12/2024
19:45
Linfield Linfield
1.90
X
3.24
Larne FC Larne FC
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Linfield x Larne FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Linfield x Larne FC

Important information for your tip for Linfield x Larne FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Linfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Larne FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-47.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Linfield conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Larne FC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Linfield x Larne FC for the Northern Ireland Premier – 30 of December

🏟️ Linfield X Larne FC – Northern Ireland Premier
📅 30 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Linfield – Winning probability: 54.96% | Fair line: 1.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.80% | Fair line: 4.03
🔴 Larne FC – Winning probability: 20.24% | Fair line: 4.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Linfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Linfield and Larne FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240492 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Linfield x Larne FC

Should you bet on Linfield?

🔵 Linfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$45.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on Larne FC?

🔴 Larne FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Linfield x Larne FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Linfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linfield x Larne FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Linfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Linfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Larne FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linfield x Larne FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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