Orvietana x Grosseto Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Orvietana x Grosseto, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 13:30

Orvietana 3.80

X 3.30

Grosseto 1.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Orvietana x Grosseto:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Orvietana x Grosseto

Some important points for the tip for Orvietana x Grosseto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Grosseto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $780.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Grosseto has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Orvietana x Grosseto for the Italy Serie D – 5 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orvietana x Grosseto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Orvietana x Grosseto

Is it worth betting on Orvietana?

🔵 Orvietana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Grosseto?

🔴 Grosseto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $500.20
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$110.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Orvietana x Grosseto

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Orvietana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orvietana x Grosseto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Orvietana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Orvietana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Grosseto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orvietana x Grosseto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.