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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:30
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
2.30
X
3.50
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
2.87

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $435.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Wolfsburg scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolfsburg, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Wolfsburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg, with TSG Hoffenheim as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Wolfsburg.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

🏟️ TSG Hoffenheim X Wolfsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 43.10% | Fair line: 2.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.76% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 27.15% | Fair line: 3.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between TSG Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $559.00
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔴 Wolfsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $504.90;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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