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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
PREDICTION SC Freiburg wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:30
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
1.36
X
5.00
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
7.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel:

🔮 SC Freiburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Freiburg, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $221.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Holstein Kiel matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

🏟️ SC Freiburg X Holstein Kiel – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 84.74% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.34% | Fair line: 8.82
🔴 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 3.92% | Fair line: 25.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SC Freiburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freiburg?

🔵 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $306.00
  • And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $260.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SC Freiburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 SC Freiburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 SC Freiburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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