Mainz x Bochum Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Bochum, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 14:30

Mainz 1.47

X 4.50

Bochum 6.12

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mainz x Bochum:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $735.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Mainz x Bochum: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $710.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mainz scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bochum, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Bochum matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Mainz is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Mainz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bochum playing at home.

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Analysis from Mainz x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

When the best bet on Mainz x Bochum is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244472 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mainz x Bochum

Is it a good idea to bet on Mainz?

🔵 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $399.50
• And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$249.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $315.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is betting on Bochum worth it?

🔴 Bochum: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $307.20
• And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$632.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Bochum

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Mainz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Mainz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.