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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for January 11 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 15h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles Heracles
PREDICTION Sparta Rotterdam Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
ODD: @2.49 Don't miss this prediction!

Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam Betting tips for January 11 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
15:30
Heracles Heracles
2.70
X
3.44
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
2.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam:

🔮 Sparta Rotterdam wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sparta Rotterdam, you can win up to $1245.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Heracles scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sparta Rotterdam matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sparta Rotterdam conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Heracles conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sparta Rotterdam.
👉 Even as a visitor, Sparta Rotterdam won the last 3 head-to-head matches Heracles´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 11 of January

🏟️ Heracles X Sparta Rotterdam – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Heracles – Winning probability: 30.04% | Fair line: 3.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.96% | Fair line: 4.36
🔴 Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 46.99% | Fair line: 2.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam

Is betting on Heracles worth it?

🔵 Heracles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$190.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $561.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.80.

Is it worth betting on Sparta Rotterdam?

🔴 Sparta Rotterdam: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $700.30;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Heracles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Heracles. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x Sparta Rotterdam

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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