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Home » Predictions » Monterrey x Puebla Betting tips for January 13 in Mexico Liga MX
Monday, 13 January 2025, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey Monterrey
PREDICTION Monterrey wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Puebla Puebla
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Monterrey x Puebla Betting tips for January 13 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Puebla, Monday, 13/1/2025
📅 13/1/2025
01:00
Monterrey Monterrey
1.29
X
5.25
Puebla Puebla
8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monterrey x Puebla:

🔮 Monterrey wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monterrey, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monterrey x Puebla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puebla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Puebla, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Monterrey x Puebla, with Monterrey as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Puebla conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Puebla playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Puebla as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monterrey x Puebla?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Monterrey x Puebla:

Analysis from Monterrey x Puebla for the Mexico Liga MX – 13 of January

🏟️ Monterrey X Puebla – Mexico Liga MX
📅 13 of January, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Monterrey – Winning probability: 92.45% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.85% | Fair line: 17.08
🔴 Puebla – Winning probability: 1.69% | Fair line: 59.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monterrey x Puebla is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245132 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monterrey x Puebla

Is it worth betting on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $266.80
  • And would lose other 80 times – losing -$80.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$186.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $255.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Puebla?

🔴 Puebla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $150.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Puebla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Puebla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Monterrey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Monterrey.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Monterrey.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Puebla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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