Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for January 12 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 18:00

Tapatio 2.20

X 3.34

Universidad Guadalajara 2.79

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

The main points for the tip for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Universidad Guadalajara matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tapatio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Tapatio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Universidad Guadalajara.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

Should you bet on Tapatio?

🔵 Tapatio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $372.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $702.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$2.00.

Is it worth betting on Universidad Guadalajara?

🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $698.10;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$88.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tapatio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tapatio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Universidad Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.