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Home » Predictions » Others » Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos Betting tips for January 13 in Greece Super League 1
Monday, 13 January 2025, 16h00 Greece Super League 1
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Panetolikos Panetolikos
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos Betting tips for January 13 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos, Monday, 13/1/2025
📅 13/1/2025
16:00
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
2.10
X
3.00
Panetolikos Panetolikos
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Asteras Tripolis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $48.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panetolikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
👉 In the last 5 Panetolikos matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Asteras Tripolis conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Panetolikos.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Panetolikos has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos for the Greece Super League 1 – 13 of January

🏟️ Asteras Tripolis X Panetolikos – Greece Super League 1
📅 13 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Asteras Tripolis – Winning probability: 44.74% | Fair line: 2.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.53% | Fair line: 2.9
🔴 Panetolikos – Winning probability: 20.73% | Fair line: 4.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Asteras Tripolis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245169 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos

Is it worth betting on Asteras Tripolis?

🔵 Asteras Tripolis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$55.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it worth betting on Panetolikos?

🔴 Panetolikos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Asteras Tripolis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Asteras Tripolis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Asteras Tripolis. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Asteras Tripolis x Panetolikos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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