Ourense x Valencia Betting tips for January 14 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Ourense x Valencia, Tuesday, 14/1/2025

📅 14/1/2025 20:00

Ourense 5.72

X 3.72

Valencia 1.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ourense x Valencia:

🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $800.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Ourense x Valencia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $895.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Valencia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Valencia has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ourense x Valencia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ourense x Valencia for the Spain Copa del Rey – 14 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ourense x Valencia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245169 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ourense x Valencia

Is betting on Ourense worth it?

🔵 Ourense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $472.00
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$442.00.

Is betting on Valencia worth it?

🔴 Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$200.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Valencia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Ourense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Valencia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Ourense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ourense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Valencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Valencia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.