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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bochum x St Pauli Betting tips for January 15 in Germany Bundesliga I
Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 17h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bochum Bochum
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
St Pauli St Pauli
ODD: @3.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Bochum x St Pauli Betting tips for January 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bochum x St Pauli, Wednesday, 15/1/2025
📅 15/1/2025
17:30
Bochum Bochum
2.50
X
3.37
St Pauli St Pauli
2.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bochum x St Pauli:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1685.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bochum x St Pauli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against St Pauli, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bochum is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bochum x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of January

🏟️ Bochum X St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 15 of January, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Bochum – Winning probability: 36.38% | Fair line: 2.75
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.23% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 St Pauli – Winning probability: 28.39% | Fair line: 3.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bochum
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bochum and St Pauli.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1246743 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bochum x St Pauli

Is it a good idea to bet on Bochum?

🔵 Bochum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $829.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$179.50.

Should you bet on St Pauli?

🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $498.40
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$221.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bochum x St Pauli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bochum
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bochum x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bochum and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bochum.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bochum x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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