Everton x Aston Villa Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League
| 📅 15/1/2025 19:30 |
 Everton3.11 |
X 3.30 |
Aston Villa  2.31 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Everton x Aston Villa:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
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Important information for your tip for Everton x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. |
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Analysis from Everton x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 15 of January
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🏟️ Everton X Aston Villa – England Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Aston Villa.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Aston Villa
Is it worth betting on Everton?
🔵 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $569.70
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.30.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $759.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$89.00.
Is it worth betting on Aston Villa?
🔴 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $524.00;
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Aston Villa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Aston Villa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Everton.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Aston Villa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
