Newcastle x Wolverhampton Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Wolverhampton, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 19:30

Newcastle 1.39

X 5.00

Wolverhampton 7.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Wolverhampton:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $695.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x Wolverhampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $78.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolverhampton, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 Wolverhampton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Newcastle is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Wolverhampton has not lost any of them. 👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Wolverhampton playing at home.

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Analysis from Newcastle x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 15 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newcastle x Wolverhampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $347.10;
• And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$237.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it worth betting on Wolverhampton?

🔴 Wolverhampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $248.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$712.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Wolverhampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Newcastle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.