Union Berlin x Augsburg Betting tips for January 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x Augsburg, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 19:30

Union Berlin 1.86

X 3.42

Augsburg 4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Berlin x Augsburg:

🔮 Union Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Berlin, you can win up to $930.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Union Berlin x Augsburg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Augsburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Augsburg, Union Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Augsburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Union Berlin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Augsburg playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Union Berlin x Augsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x Augsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Union Berlin x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of January

When the best bet on Union Berlin x Augsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1246743 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Berlin x Augsburg

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?

🔵 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $533.20;
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$153.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $556.60;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$213.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Augsburg?

🔴 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $532.80
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x Augsburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Augsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Union Berlin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Union Berlin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.