Werder Bremen x Heidenheim Betting tips for January 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 19:30

Werder Bremen 1.61

X 4.28

Heidenheim 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim:

🔮 Werder Bremen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen, you can win up to $805.00!

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The main points for the tip for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-265.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Heidenheim conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Heidenheim as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Werder Bremen x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Werder Bremen and Heidenheim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim

Is betting on Werder Bremen worth it?

🔵 Werder Bremen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $475.80;
• And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$255.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $360.80;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$529.20.

Is betting on Heidenheim worth it?

🔴 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$500.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Heidenheim

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Werder Bremen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Werder Bremen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.