Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta Betting tips for January 15 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 21:30

Gremio Novorizontino 1.59

X 3.50

Ponte Preta 5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta:

🔮 Gremio Novorizontino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio Novorizontino, you can win up to $795.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ponte Preta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Ponte Preta, Gremio Novorizontino scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Gremio Novorizontino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Ponte Preta matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ponte Preta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Gremio Novorizontino has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ponte Preta playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Ponte Preta as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta:

Analysis from Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 15 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246743 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

Is betting on Gremio Novorizontino worth it?

🔵 Gremio Novorizontino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $519.20
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$399.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $200.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Should you bet on Ponte Preta?

🔴 Ponte Preta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$780.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Gremio Novorizontino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Gremio Novorizontino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Ponte Preta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio Novorizontino x Ponte Preta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.