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Home » Predictions » Others » Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos Betting tips for January 15 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 22h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Santos de Guápiles Santos de Guápiles
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos Betting tips for January 15 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos, Wednesday, 15/1/2025
📅 15/1/2025
22:00
Santos de Guápiles Santos de Guápiles
2.85
X
3.20
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
2.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos de Guápiles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $385.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santos de Guápiles scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Santos de Guápiles is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 15 of January

🏟️ Santos de Guápiles X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 15 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Santos de Guápiles – Winning probability: 29.40% | Fair line: 3.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.51% | Fair line: 2.98
🔴 AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 37.09% | Fair line: 2.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santos de Guápiles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santos de Guápiles and AD San Carlos.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246743 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos

Should you bet on Santos de Guápiles?

🔵 Santos de Guápiles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $536.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$173.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$88.00.

Is betting on AD San Carlos worth it?

🔴 AD San Carlos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $488.40;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$141.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santos de Guápiles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Santos de Guápiles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Santos de Guápiles.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Santos de Guápiles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos de Guápiles x AD San Carlos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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