Guarani x Botafogo SP Betting tips for January 15 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 15/1/2025 22:30 |
 Guarani2.00 |
X 3.00 |
Botafogo SP  3.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guarani x Botafogo SP:
🔮 Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Guarani x Botafogo SP: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. |
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Analysis from Guarani x Botafogo SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 15 of January
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🏟️ Guarani X Botafogo SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
When the best bet on Guarani x Botafogo SP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246713 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
Should you bet on Guarani?
🔵 Guarani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$490.00.
Is betting on Botafogo SP worth it?
🔴 Botafogo SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $728.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Botafogo SP
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Guarani.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Botafogo SP.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Botafogo SP
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
