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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Santa Ana x Puntarenas Betting tips for January 15 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 23h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Santa Ana Santa Ana
PREDICTION No tip
Puntarenas Puntarenas
Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Ana x Puntarenas Betting tips for January 15 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Santa Ana x Puntarenas, Wednesday, 15/1/2025
πŸ“… 15/1/2025
23:00
Santa Ana Santa Ana
2.07
X
3.15
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Ana x Puntarenas:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Santa Ana x Puntarenas

Important information for your tip for Santa Ana x Puntarenas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santa Ana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Puntarenas.

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Summary

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Analysis from Santa Ana x Puntarenas for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 15 of January

🏟️ Santa Ana X Puntarenas – Costa Rica Primera Division
πŸ“… 15 of January, 2025 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Santa Ana – Winning probability: 44.90% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.35% | Fair line: 3.8
πŸ”΄ Puntarenas – Winning probability: 28.75% | Fair line: 3.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Ana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Ana x Puntarenas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Ana x Puntarenas

Is betting on Santa Ana worth it?

πŸ”΅ Santa Ana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $481.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$68.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $559.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

Should you bet on Puntarenas?

πŸ”΄ Puntarenas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $681.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$28.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Ana x Puntarenas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santa Ana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Ana x Puntarenas

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Santa Ana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Santa Ana.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Ana x Puntarenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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