Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos Betting tips for January 16 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 16/1/2025 00:35 |
 Palmeiras1.46 |
X 3.80 |
Portuguesa Desportos  6.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos:
🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $730.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0. |
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Analysis from Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 16 of January
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🏟️ Palmeiras X Portuguesa Desportos – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
Is it worth betting on Palmeiras?
🔵 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $418.60;
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$328.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $168.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$772.00.
Is it worth betting on Portuguesa Desportos?
🔴 Portuguesa Desportos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$805.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Palmeiras, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Palmeiras.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Palmeiras.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Portuguesa Desportos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
