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Home Β» Predictions Β» Aswan FC x Tanta Betting tips for January 14 in Egypt Division 2
Tuesday, 14 January 2025, 12h30 Egypt Division 2
Aswan FC Aswan FC
PREDICTION No tip
Tanta Tanta
Don't miss this prediction!

Aswan FC x Tanta Betting tips for January 14 in Egypt Division 2

Our betting tip for Aswan FC x Tanta, Tuesday, 14/1/2025
πŸ“… 14/1/2025
12:30
Aswan FC Aswan FC
2.30
X
2.62
Tanta Tanta
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aswan FC x Tanta:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Aswan FC x Tanta

Some important points for the tip for Aswan FC x Tanta:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Aswan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
πŸ‘‰ Tanta did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aswan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Tanta, Aswan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Aswan FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Tanta matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aswan FC x Tanta for the Egypt Division 2 – 14 of January

🏟️ Aswan FC X Tanta – Egypt Division 2
πŸ“… 14 of January, 2025 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Aswan FC – Winning probability: 38.38% | Fair line: 2.61
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.42% | Fair line: 2.67
πŸ”΄ Tanta – Winning probability: 24.21% | Fair line: 4.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aswan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aswan FC and Tanta.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245823 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aswan FC x Tanta

Should you bet on Aswan FC?

πŸ”΅ Aswan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $599.40;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$30.60.

Should you bet on Tanta?

πŸ”΄ Tanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aswan FC x Tanta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aswan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aswan FC x Tanta

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Aswan FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Aswan FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aswan FC x Tanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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