Manchester United x Southampton Betting tips for January 16 in England Premier League
| 📅 16/1/2025 20:00 |
 Manchester United1.31 |
X 5.50 |
Southampton  8.12 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Manchester United x Southampton:
🔮 Manchester United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $655.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Manchester United x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Manchester United x Southampton for the England Premier League – 16 of January
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🏟️ Manchester United X Southampton – England Premier League |
When the best bet on Manchester United x Southampton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246961 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester United x Southampton
Is betting on Manchester United worth it?
🔵 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $285.20
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$205.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $225.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$725.00.
Should you bet on Southampton?
🔴 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $213.60
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$756.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Southampton
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Southampton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Manchester United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Manchester United.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Manchester United.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Southampton
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
