Real Madrid x Celta Vigo Betting tips for January 16 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo, Thursday, 16/1/2025

📅 16/1/2025 20:30

Real Madrid 1.30

X 5.75

Celta Vigo 7.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $650.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Celta Vigo, Real Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Real Madrid matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Celta Vigo playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Real Madrid x Celta Vigo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Real Madrid x Celta Vigo:

Analysis from Real Madrid x Celta Vigo for the Spain Copa del Rey – 16 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246743 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?

🔵 Real Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $282.00
• And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $142.50;
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$827.50.

Is it worth betting on Celta Vigo?

🔴 Celta Vigo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $196.80
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$773.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Celta Vigo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Real Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Celta Vigo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Celta Vigo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.