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Home » Predictions » Others » EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP Betting tips for January 16 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Thursday, 16 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
PREDICTION EC Agua Santa wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP Betting tips for January 16 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP, Thursday, 16/1/2025
📅 16/1/2025
21:30
EC Agua Santa EC Agua Santa
2.22
X
3.00
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP:

🔮 EC Agua Santa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Agua Santa, you can win up to $1110.00!

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The main points for the tip for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $213.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Bernardo SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, EC Agua Santa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, EC Agua Santa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sao Bernardo SP.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP:

Analysis from EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 16 of January

🏟️ EC Agua Santa X Sao Bernardo SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 16 of January, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 EC Agua Santa – Winning probability: 50.58% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.01% | Fair line: 5.0
🔴 Sao Bernardo SP – Winning probability: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246743 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP

Should you bet on EC Agua Santa?

🔵 EC Agua Santa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $622.20
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$132.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Should you bet on Sao Bernardo SP?

🔴 Sao Bernardo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$101.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 EC Agua Santa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 EC Agua Santa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sao Bernardo SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Agua Santa x Sao Bernardo SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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