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Home » Predictions » Others » Vasco da Gama x Bangu Betting tips for January 17 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Friday, 17 January 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
PREDICTION Vasco da Gama wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Bangu Bangu
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Vasco da Gama x Bangu Betting tips for January 17 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Bangu, Friday, 17/1/2025
📅 17/1/2025
00:30
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1.54
X
3.72
Bangu Bangu
5.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Bangu:

🔮 Vasco da Gama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $770.00!

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Important information for your tip for Vasco da Gama x Bangu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bangu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $320.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bangu, Vasco da Gama scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Vasco da Gama has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Bangu playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Vasco da Gama x Bangu?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vasco da Gama x Bangu, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Bangu for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 17 of January

🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Bangu – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 17 of January, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 78.05% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.67% | Fair line: 7.32
🔴 Bangu – Winning probability: 8.29% | Fair line: 12.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x Bangu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Bangu

Is it worth betting on Vasco da Gama?

🔵 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $421.20;
  • And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$201.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $380.80
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$479.20.

Is betting on Bangu worth it?

🔴 Bangu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $364.80;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$555.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Bangu

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Bangu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Vasco da Gama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Vasco da Gama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Bangu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Bangu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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