Santos x Mirassol Betting tips for January 17 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Santos x Mirassol, Friday, 17/1/2025

📅 17/1/2025 00:30

Santos 1.75

X 3.22

Mirassol 4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santos x Mirassol:

🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Santos x Mirassol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Mirassol, Santos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Mirassol matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Santos x Mirassol, with Santos as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mirassol. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Mirassol has not lost any of them. 👉 Santos has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Mirassol.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Santos x Mirassol?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santos x Mirassol:

Analysis from Santos x Mirassol for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 17 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santos x Mirassol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1246743 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos x Mirassol

Should you bet on Santos?

🔵 Santos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$225.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $310.80;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$549.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mirassol?

🔴 Mirassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $532.80;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santos x Mirassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos x Mirassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Santos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Santos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Santos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos x Mirassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.