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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Chaves x Academico Viseu Betting tips for January 17 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Friday, 17 January 2025, 20h15 Portugal Segunda Liga
Chaves Chaves
PREDICTION No tip
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
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Chaves x Academico Viseu Betting tips for January 17 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Chaves x Academico Viseu, Friday, 17/1/2025
πŸ“… 17/1/2025
20:15
Chaves Chaves
2.20
X
3.04
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chaves x Academico Viseu:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Chaves x Academico Viseu

The main points for the tip for Chaves x Academico Viseu:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Academico Viseu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Academico Viseu, Chaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chaves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Academico Viseu conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Chaves has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Academico Viseu playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chaves x Academico Viseu for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 17 of January

🏟️ Chaves X Academico Viseu – Portugal Segunda Liga
πŸ“… 17 of January, 2025 – 20:15
πŸ”΅ Chaves – Winning probability: 41.59% | Fair line: 2.4
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.05% | Fair line: 3.12
πŸ”΄ Academico Viseu – Winning probability: 26.36% | Fair line: 3.79
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chaves and Academico Viseu.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1247006 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chaves x Academico Viseu

Is it worth betting on Chaves?

πŸ”΅ Chaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $652.80;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$27.20.

Is it worth betting on Academico Viseu?

πŸ”΄ Academico Viseu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$168.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Academico Viseu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Academico Viseu

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Chaves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Academico Viseu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Academico Viseu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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