Puebla x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for January 18 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 18/1/2025 01:00 |
 Puebla2.63 |
X 3.38 |
Atletico San Luis  2.37 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Puebla x Atletico San Luis:
🔮 Atletico San Luis wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico San Luis, you can win up to $1185.00!
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Important information for your tip for Puebla x Atletico San Luis: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puebla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
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Analysis from Puebla x Atletico San Luis for the Mexico Liga MX – 18 of January
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🏟️ Puebla X Atletico San Luis – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Puebla x Atletico San Luis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1247006 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Puebla x Atletico San Luis
Is it a good idea to bet on Puebla?
🔵 Puebla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $374.90;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$395.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $690.20
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$19.80.
Is betting on Atletico San Luis worth it?
🔴 Atletico San Luis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $657.60;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Puebla x Atletico San Luis
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Puebla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puebla x Atletico San Luis
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Puebla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Puebla.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atletico San Luis.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puebla x Atletico San Luis
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
