Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for January 18 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas, Saturday, 18/1/2025

📅 18/1/2025 01:00

Oaxaca 4.10

X 3.30

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas:

🔮 Mineros de Zacatecas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mineros de Zacatecas, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mineros de Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mineros de Zacatecas, Oaxaca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mineros de Zacatecas. 👉 Oaxaca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Mineros de Zacatecas playing at home.

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Analysis from Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 18 of January

When the best bet on Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1247006 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas

Is betting on Oaxaca worth it?

🔵 Oaxaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $496.00
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $529.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.

Is betting on Mineros de Zacatecas worth it?

🔴 Mineros de Zacatecas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $475.80;
• And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Oaxaca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Oaxaca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Oaxaca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oaxaca x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.