Sao Paulo x Guarani Betting tips for January 23 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
| 📅 23/1/2025 22:30 |
 Sao Paulo1.38 |
X 4.10 |
Guarani  8.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sao Paulo x Guarani:
🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $690.00!
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Important information for your tip for Sao Paulo x Guarani: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Guarani?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Guarani, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sao Paulo x Guarani for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 23 of January
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🏟️ Sao Paulo X Guarani – Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Paulo x Guarani right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1250450 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo x Guarani
Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?
🔵 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $345.80
- And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$255.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $217.00
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$713.00.
Is betting on Guarani worth it?
🔴 Guarani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Guarani
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Guarani
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Sao Paulo.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Guarani
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
