AD Confianca x Nautico Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Copa Nordeste

Our betting tip for AD Confianca x Nautico, Wednesday, 5/2/2025

📅 5/2/2025 22:00

AD Confianca 2.35

X 3.05

Nautico 2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Confianca x Nautico:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Confianca x Nautico

Some important points for the tip for AD Confianca x Nautico: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Confianca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $584.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nautico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Confianca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nautico conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AD Confianca is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 AD Confianca has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Nautico playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Nautico as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from AD Confianca x Nautico for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 5 of February

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Confianca and Nautico.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Confianca x Nautico

Is it worth betting on AD Confianca?

🔵 AD Confianca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$175.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$329.00.

Is betting on Nautico worth it?

🔴 Nautico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$188.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Confianca x Nautico

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Confianca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Confianca x Nautico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AD Confianca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AD Confianca.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Confianca x Nautico

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.