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Home » Predictions » Others » CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for February 8 in Uruguay Apertura
Saturday, 08 February 2025, 22h30 Uruguay Apertura
CA River Plate CA River Plate
PREDICTION Defensor Sporting Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
ODD: @2.18 Don't miss this prediction!

CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for February 8 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting, Saturday, 8/2/2025
📅 8/2/2025
22:30
CA River Plate CA River Plate
3.14
X
3.08
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
2.18

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting:

🔮 Defensor Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Defensor Sporting, you can win up to $1090.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 5 CA River Plate matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, CA River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Defensor Sporting.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Apertura – 8 of February

🏟️ CA River Plate X Defensor Sporting – Uruguay Apertura
📅 8 of February, 2025 – 22:30
🔵 CA River Plate – Winning probability: 30.22% | Fair line: 3.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.92% | Fair line: 6.28
🔴 Defensor Sporting – Winning probability: 53.87% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1259297 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting

Is betting on CA River Plate worth it?

🔵 CA River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $642.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$58.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $332.80;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$507.20.

Is it worth betting on Defensor Sporting?

🔴 Defensor Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $637.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$177.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 CA River Plate, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 CA River Plate.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA River Plate x Defensor Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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