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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for March 9 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
FC Talanta FC Talanta
PREDICTION Sofapaka FC Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
ODD: @2.08 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for March 9 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
12:00
FC Talanta FC Talanta
3.25
X
3.22
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
2.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC:

🔮 Sofapaka FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sofapaka FC, you can win up to $1040.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Talanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 7 FC Talanta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Sofapaka FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC, with FC Talanta as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Talanta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Talanta has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 9 of March

🏟️ FC Talanta X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 FC Talanta – Winning probability: 16.65% | Fair line: 6.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.83% | Fair line: 4.2
🔴 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 59.53% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Talanta and Sofapaka FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Talanta?

🔵 FC Talanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $382.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $532.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Is it worth betting on Sofapaka FC?

🔴 Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$248.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FC Talanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Talanta.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Talanta x Sofapaka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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