Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Betting tips for March 14 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 13:00

Hapoel Afula 1.92

X 3.20

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm:

🔮 Hapoel Afula wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hapoel Afula, you can win up to $960.00!

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Important information for your tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, Hapoel Afula scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Hapoel Afula matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Hapoel Afula has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Umm al-Fahm playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm for the Israel Leumit Liga – 14 of March

When the best bet on Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Afula?

🔵 Hapoel Afula: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $561.20;
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?

🔴 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $375.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Hapoel Afula and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Hapoel Afula.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hapoel Afula.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.