Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador Betting tips for March 15 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 00:00

Mushuc Runa 1.79

X 3.30

Vinotinto Ecuador 4.18

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador

Some important points for the tip for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mushuc Runa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $228.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vinotinto Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mushuc Runa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Mushuc Runa is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Vinotinto Ecuador has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador?

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Analysis from Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mushuc Runa and Vinotinto Ecuador.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador

Is betting on Mushuc Runa worth it?

🔵 Mushuc Runa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $418.70;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vinotinto Ecuador?

🔴 Vinotinto Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $667.80;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mushuc Runa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Mushuc Runa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Mushuc Runa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mushuc Runa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mushuc Runa x Vinotinto Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.