Correcaminos x Venados FC Betting tips for March 21 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Venados FC, Friday, 21/3/2025

📅 21/3/2025 01:00

Correcaminos 2.80

X 3.55

Venados FC 2.17

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Correcaminos x Venados FC:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Correcaminos x Venados FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $440.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Venados FC, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Correcaminos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Correcaminos received red cards as the home team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Venados FC. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Venados FC.

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Analysis from Correcaminos x Venados FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 21 of March

When the best bet on Correcaminos x Venados FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1284994 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

Is betting on Correcaminos worth it?

🔵 Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $969.00
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$349.00.

Is betting on Venados FC worth it?

🔴 Venados FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $397.80;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Venados FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Correcaminos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Correcaminos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Correcaminos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Venados FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.