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Home » Predictions » Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 30 March 2025, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
ODD: @3.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul, Sunday, 30/3/2025
📅 30/3/2025
03:05
Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara
3.00
X
3.11
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $271.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-249.0.
👉 In the last 3 Cruz Azul matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Cruz Azul has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX – 30 of March

🏟️ Chivas Guadalajara X Cruz Azul – Mexico Liga MX
📅 30 of March, 2025 – 03:05
🔵 Chivas Guadalajara – Winning probability: 23.71% | Fair line: 4.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.02% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 44.27% | Fair line: 2.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul

Is it a good idea to bet on Chivas Guadalajara?

🔵 Chivas Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $675.20
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$4.80.

Should you bet on Cruz Azul?

🔴 Cruz Azul: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$12.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Chivas Guadalajara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Chivas Guadalajara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Cruz Azul

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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