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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro Betting tips for April 1 in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, 01 April 2025, 22h00 Copa Sudamericana
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
PREDICTION Cruzeiro Wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
ODD: @2.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro Betting tips for April 1 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro, Tuesday, 1/4/2025
📅 1/4/2025
22:00
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
3.00
X
3.00
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1190.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Union Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro:

Analysis from Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro for the Copa Sudamericana – 1 of April

🏟️ Union Santa Fe X Cruzeiro – Copa Sudamericana
📅 1 of April, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Union Santa Fe – Winning probability: 34.16% | Fair line: 2.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.34% | Fair line: 5.45
🔴 Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 47.50% | Fair line: 2.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294595 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro

Should you bet on Union Santa Fe?

🔵 Union Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cruzeiro?

🔴 Cruzeiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $648.60
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Union Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Union Santa Fe.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Union Santa Fe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Santa Fe x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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